A low-risk short trade near 5,100

Free After-Hours Analysis: 

The S&P 500 slipped 0.4% Monday, following last week’s big run to record highs.

Impressive earnings from market darling NVDA sent the index flying 105 points last Thursday, but so far, the index is struggling to add to those big gains in the follow-up sessions.

Too high, or not high enough? That’s the million-dollar question.

Both sides have compelling arguments. Few things are more powerful than momentum, and this rally is red-hot. But on the other side, all good things must come to an end and this rally is no different.

At this point, I give a very slight near-term edge to the bears. Not because I think this rally is topping but because savvy traders can enter a low-risk/high-reward short trade at current levels.

The market is pausing at 5,100, giving us a low-risk shorting opportunity with a stop near Friday’s intraday highs. If momentum continues higher, we get stopped out for a small loss. On the other hand, a very vanilla pullback to 5k will produce profits of many multiples of that risk.

Low-risk, high-reward trades are what traders dream of, and here’s a good one.

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