Is this latest run in bitcoin sustainable?

By Jani Ziedins | End of Day Analysis

Oct 21

Free After-Hours Analysis: 

It’s been a while since I wrote about bitcoin and it has largely been flying under the radar this summer. Rather than act as a safe haven during the Covid crash, it tumbled alongside everything else. Since then, most pundits gave up on it and it isn’t attracting much coverage in the financial press. Maybe today’s run-up to $13k will change that.

As I’ve been telling my premium subscribers this fall, $10k has been the key level for this cryptocurrency. I’m not a big fan of virtual currencies by any stretch of the imagination, but as long as this held above $10k, it was doing everything it needed to do to earn our respect. It took a few months, but it finally delivered on that promise, surging nearly 30% in a month, most of that happening over the last few days. Not bad.

What’s behind this strength? There are a lot of opinions being thrown around between Paypal integration and a mountain of U.S. stimulus coming our way, but if I had to guess, a lot of nervous Republicans and Democrats are hedging their portfolios in case “the other guy” wins the election.

It doesn’t matter who you talk to, but it seems everyone is convinced the apocalypse is coming if their guy loses. While I have opinions about both candidates, I’m pragmatic enough to know the presidency isn’t nearly as important as most people believe. I’ve traded under both Democrats and Republicans alike and markets go up and down regardless of who sits in the oval office and this election cycle won’t be any different.

By the time December and January roll around, most of the reflexive sour-grapes selling will have passed and the market’s attention will long have since shifted to something else. The same goes for Bitcoin. When the world doesn’t collapse after the election, BTC will lose its appeal and will most likely retreat back to $10k support.

There is nothing wrong with riding this latest wave higher but be sensible and follow this rally with a trailing stop. Remember, we don’t make money until we take profits in our best trades.

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About the Author

Jani Ziedins (pronounced Ya-nee) is a full-time investor and financial analyst that has successfully traded stocks and options for nearly three decades. He has an undergraduate engineering degree from the Colorado School of Mines and two graduate business degrees from the University of Colorado Denver. His prior professional experience includes engineering at Fortune 500 companies, small business consulting, and managing investment real estate. He is now fortunate enough to trade full-time from home, affording him the luxury of spending extra time with his wife and two children.