Exactly two weeks ago the stock market was “on the verge of collapse”. Today things look far different. Amazing what a 250-points rebound will do for the market’s mood.
I caught grief on social media for claiming September’s dip was buyable. While the crowd insisted the next leg lower was imminent, I kept buying the bounces. The first bounce didn’t stick. But that’s not a big deal. If we start small, get in early, and get out early, the losses are minor. In fact, if we are good at this and move quickly, we can get out at breakeven, making these free trades. It’s hard to beat that risk/reward.
The second bounce didn’t stick and neither did the third. But all of this was expected and part of the plan. Sometimes the market bounces quickly. Other times it takes a few false starts before it gets its mojo back. This time the fourth bounce was the magic number.
No doubt a lot of optimistic dip-buyers gave up after the second or third failed bounce and they ended up missing the real one. That’s the way this goes sometimes. Just because a trade doesn’t work the first time doesn’t mean we should give up. As long as we focus on sensible entries and exits, we have the ability to test all of these rebounds with relatively low risk.
Long-term success in the market is nothing more than sticking to our trading plan and ignoring all the useless opinions surrounding us. Stick to what we know and we will always come out ahead in the end.
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Jani Ziedins (pronounced Ya-nee) is a full-time investor and financial analyst that has successfully traded stocks and options for nearly three decades. He has an undergraduate engineering degree from the Colorado School of Mines and two graduate business degrees from the University of Colorado Denver. His prior professional experience includes engineering at Fortune 500 companies, small business consulting, and managing investment real estate. He is now fortunate enough to trade full-time from home, affording him the luxury of spending extra time with his wife and two children.