Why the trend is still higher

By Jani Ziedins | End of Day Analysis

May 11

Free After-Hours Analysis: 

Thursday’s session took the S&P 500 on another wild ride as steep opening losses bounced off of those early lows. While the index finished down -0.2%, that was actually a fairly robust ending to a day that traded as low as -0.7%.

As I’ve been saying for a while, this is a choppy sideways market and it is handing these whipsaws out in spades. One day’s up becomes the next day’s down.

But if we zoom the chart out and look at the daily and weekly patterns, the market is actually trading well with multiple bounces off of 4,050 support.

There have been more than enough excuses for this market to break down, yet every time the bears try, stocks bounce back in their face. A market that refuses to go down will eventually go up.

It is a worrying sign if the market is refusing to rally on good news, but the sentiment is overwhelmingly bearish as trader chatter continues to obsess over inflation, interest rates, tight employment, bank failures, and a looming recession.

There is a popular saying in the market that stocks climb a wall of worry, and the indexes trading near multi-year highs is a classic example of that.

For all the excuses the market has to go down, it keeps going up. Rather than argue with the market, follow its lead.

Until something changes, keep buying the bounces. At this point, it is only a matter of time before we are testing 4,200 resistance and even poking our heads above this key level.

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About the Author

Jani Ziedins (pronounced Ya-nee) is a full-time investor and financial analyst that has successfully traded stocks and options for nearly three decades. He has an undergraduate engineering degree from the Colorado School of Mines and two graduate business degrees from the University of Colorado Denver. His prior professional experience includes engineering at Fortune 500 companies, small business consulting, and managing investment real estate. He is now fortunate enough to trade full-time from home, affording him the luxury of spending extra time with his wife and two children.