The S&P 500 slipped 0.6% on Tuesday after the good feelings surrounding last week’s Santa Clause rally left town.
Headlines haven’t changed in a meaningful way, but the calendar rolled over, and we find ourselves in a new year and a new quarter. All of the repositioning that took place in the final weeks of 2023 is done, and professional investors are starting with a clean slate. Gone is the pressure to chase prices into year-end, and now these institutional money managers are free to trade the positions they believe in, not what they think investors want to see on their year-end statements. And so far, it seems like big money doesn’t want to chase anymore.
One day doesn’t make a trend, but these are the early hints that changes could be blowing our way.
I was on vacation last week, and as a personal rule, I didn’t trade, but now that I’m back in the office, it’s game on. I’m not ready to jump on the short bandwagon after a few hours of weakness, but if this sticks around, I’m happy to start with a small short and a nearby stop.
As I’ve written before, shorting an uptrend is one of the hardest ways to make money trading because it requires impeccable timing. But if we approach it with a good risk management strategy, we can take a shot relatively safely.
The index bounced off of the afternoon lows in the final minutes of the session, so I didn’t pull the trigger on a short position yet, but I will be watching and ready to short continued weakness on Wednesday.
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Jani Ziedins (pronounced Ya-nee) is a full-time investor and financial analyst that has successfully traded stocks and options for nearly three decades. He has an undergraduate engineering degree from the Colorado School of Mines and two graduate business degrees from the University of Colorado Denver. His prior professional experience includes engineering at Fortune 500 companies, small business consulting, and managing investment real estate. He is now fortunate enough to trade full-time from home, affording him the luxury of spending extra time with his wife and two children.