The simple mistake bears keep making

By Jani Ziedins | End of Day Analysis

May 17

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The S&P 500 popped 1.2% Wednesday, bouncing back from Tuesday’s mild selling as the index closed at the highest levels in over two weeks.

One day down, the next day up. I’ve been reminding readers for weeks that this is a choppy, sideways market, not one on the verge of collapse. As I wrote last week:

There have been more than enough excuses for this market to break down, yet every time the bears try, stocks bounce back in their face. A market that refuses to go down will eventually go up.

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Wednesday’s big bounce was not a surprise. If inflation, rate hikes, employment, banks, or debt ceilings were going to break this market, it would have happened by now.

Bears betting against this market are giving money away. Not that I mind, because their denial puts money in my pockets. But just because they are too stubborn to learn doesn’t mean we should allow them to scare us into following them down the drain.

I’m not expecting a big breakout anytime soon, especially since we are falling into the slower summer months, but a push to 4,200 resistance and even a modest poke above this level is in our near future. Maybe it doesn’t happen until next week or the week after, but no matter what the cynics claim, this market wants to go higher, not lower.

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About the Author

Jani Ziedins (pronounced Ya-nee) is a full-time investor and financial analyst that has successfully traded stocks and options for nearly three decades. He has an undergraduate engineering degree from the Colorado School of Mines and two graduate business degrees from the University of Colorado Denver. His prior professional experience includes engineering at Fortune 500 companies, small business consulting, and managing investment real estate. He is now fortunate enough to trade full-time from home, affording him the luxury of spending extra time with his wife and two children.